Luxury Real Estate

By Cedric Choi

SEPTEMBER 2008 STATISTICS FOR SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCES – HONOLULU, HAWAII
Honolulu Board of REALTORS’® Monthly Statistical Report for September 2008 (released October 1, 2008). Each month, the Honolulu Board of REALTORS® issues a statistical report analyzing residential real estate activity on the island of Oahu. In addition to the general island-wide statistics, following is information for select individual neighborhoods:

Waialae/Kahala – See page 8 of Monthly Statistical Report
The statistics for this month are significantly different from last month, it is amazing! Comparing September 2007 to September 2008, the median price for a home in 2008 was down 33.3% (the same comparison for August 2007 and August 2008 showed the median price was up 37.8%). For the year-to-date statistics for January through September of 2007 versus January through September 2008, the median price for the neighborhood was up 7%.

Diamond Head – See page 8 of Monthly Statistical Report
The statistics are not specific (as provided by the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®), since the Diamond Head area (a high-end neighborhood) is mixed into the Kapahulu area (a moderately priced neighborhood). For the Kapahulu-Diamond Head area, the median price decreased by 3.3% compared to the same month in 2007. For the year-to-date (January through September of 2007 compared to 2008), the median price decreased by 3.3%.

Kailua-Waimanalo – See page 8 of Monthly Statistical Report
September 2007 compared to September 2008 had a -14.1% increase in the median price. Comparing January through September 2007 and the same period in 2008 shows a decrease of 4.9% in the median price. 



Other Specific Neighborhoods – There is no substitute for market information from people who are qualified and who know your market. The best way to view a specific neighborhood is to have your agent prepare and review a Comparative Market Analysis with you. For example, the MLS service permits us to do searches within very discrete Oahu neighborhoods, including Kahala/Black Point, Diamond Head, Ala Moana/Kaka’ako, Waikiki/Gold Coast, Hawaii Kai/Portlock, Hawaii Loa Ridge, Kailua/Lanikai and the North Shore.

It has been our experience that the neighborhoods that we concentrate on are less volatile than the market as a whole, which is down about 10%. Part of that involves the worldwide demand for spectacular luxury properties in outstanding locations.

Relative to the overall Oahu market, according to Harvey Shapiro, the Research Economist for the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®, “It appears that the Oahu housing market is reacting to the economic crisis that has been affecting financial markets worldwide.”


Editor’s Note:
Cedric Choi is the Vice President and Administrative Manager of Choi International, a member of the Luxury Real Estate Board of Regents. As a practicing attorney for more than 25 years, Mr. Choi has principally concentrated in areas involving commercial matters. Very interesting blog entry. Every one I post on the Luxury Real Estate Blog seems completely distinct in both tone and voice from every other. You can see similarities and fun little patterns when you read one person’s blog entries over a period of time, but it’s also fun to get a breadth of styles and information from a bunch of different sources, as well. Be sure to visit www.ChoiRealty.com for more resources on buying a luxury home in Hawaii.

By Jason Leach
From his blog: What’s the market doing? And the Russians ARE coming

There are a lot of mixed signals out there and different people have different angles on the French property market at the moment. The Brits are still buying, but not in the numbers that they used to. But then again July and August are generally quiet months for the Brits to buy.

On the other hand, there is still, and increasingly more so, lots more interest from the Dutch, German, Belgian, Swiss and Scandanavian countries, but more than ever it’s the French.

France hasn’t really been affected by the credit crunch due to the fiscal regulations that exist. We did see some small protests when the fuel prices were increased but even that’s come down again now to a more reasonable level.

Strangely, we’ve seen lots of clients with budgets of 1 million-plus euros and are just starting to see the spread of Russians starting to come across from the cote d’Azur and they’re really holding up and maybe inflating the prices at the top end of the market, saying that there are lots of properties on the market, and we are seeing stronger negotiating from buyers, but within reason.

With Languedoc becoming the fourth biggest in France for industry the prices should still see some rise and figures have been quoted at approximately 7 percent by a respected body of real estate agents which is up from last year’s figures. Personally, I think this might be a little on the high side and we should wait and see what the third quarter of the year brings us.


Editor’s Note:
Jason Leach is with www.simplylanguedocproperties.com, a subsidiary of R. CHAYLA Immobilier in the United Kingdom. Founded in 1991, R. CHAYLA has a multilingual team, agencies with cutting-edge technology and exposure on dozens of Web sites. They are known across France, and their international exposure grows daily. They are members of the Who’s Who in Luxury Real Estate network. Wow! This blog entry is in English. It’s a good idea to keep informed on what’s going on with global luxury property markets. Thanks for the great information, Jason.

By Robert Lockard

I recently finished writing an interesting article for the winter 2009 issue of LuxuryRealEstate.com Magazine. The article is on “green” homes, and it was a challenge to write, mainly because I have a number of concerns about the current global-warming scare. I was able to find a lot of good in “green” homes, especially their energy savings and positive health effects on residents. I shied away from discussing their environmental effects, since I am unconvinced that they will have any real ones, and saying that they will might give people a false sense of security.

To be sure, I am all for conservation and avoiding the waste or misuse of our resources. But something is very wrong with the current debate, or lack thereof, on global warming. I bring this up, not only because of my magazine article, but also because I read a very informative article entitled “Hot air over global warming” by Jerome Delvin in The Seattle Post-Intelligencer this morning. I highly recommend checking it out.

As I noted in the Editor’s Note of a July 31, 2008 post to the Luxury Real Estate Blog by Jean-Yves Piton entitled “Green luxury real estate,” many climatologists and other scientists are speaking out about the fallacy of manmade global warming. You can find a great deal of accurate information from top scientists who spoke at the 2008 International Conference on Climate Change. It is clear that the Earth’s atmosphere is warming, but there is actually little evidence to suggest that human activity is the main cause.

The data simply does not support the idea that the Earth’s temperature has increased at a steady pace along with the increase in carbon emissions during the past century or so. In fact, in the 1970s global cooling was touted as a major problem facing the world, not global warming. The fact that there was cooling going on during a period of steadily increasing carbon emissions seems to point to the fact that the relationship between manmade greenhouse gases and the temperature of the atmosphere is much more complex than we’re being told.

I believe that regular people can make a difference in the world, often by raising strong families and focusing on the most important things in life. However, it seems to me like this good idea (one person being able to have a positive effect on the world) has been twisted and used inappropriately when it comes to global warming in order to take advantage of well-intentioned people.

I often feel barraged with messages saying that I need to be more responsible and consume less in order to lessen my “carbon footprint” on the environment. I am wary of the rationale behind this argument for a number of reasons. There is little evidence that paying money to plant trees or somehow offset our emissions has a significant effect on the environment. In fact, an interesting study in Reportonbusiness.com found that our return on investment from putting money into the fight against global warming is so low that it’s really not even worth it. The fact is that, despite good intentions, one person, or even 6 billion people, can’t make much of a difference when it comes to global warming.

Returning to the “green” article I wrote, I tried to focus on “green” homes from the perspective of why a person would choose to purchase one. After all, they are more expensive to build, so there must be a promise of future rewards rather than a vague promise of being better for the environment. “Green” homes appear to be very sound investments because they cost less to maintain, contain fewer toxic materials and thus promote the financial and physical health of their inhabitants. I believe that “green” homes can be very good. But I do not think that they are good simply because they have some sort of positive effect on the environment that is, in reality, overrated and insignificant.

I have much more to say on this topic, but I’m afraid I just don’t have time to cover everything. I apologize if I have offended you. I am very passionate when I see injustice, and I wish to put an end to it. I think we need much more information before making changes that might have little or no effect on the problem we think we’re solving.


Editor’s Note:
Robert Lockard is the Public Relations & Media Specialist with Luxury Real Estate. I am Robert. I create all of Luxury Real Estate’s newsletters, write the editorials in LuxuryRealEstate.com Magazine and much more. If you disagree with me, I encourage you to look closely at the data before posting comments. I enjoy healthy discussions in search of truth, but I do not approve of name calling or unkindness. I just posted a blog entry by Simon Turner on Google Maps and “green” luxury homes. I don’t mean any disrespect to him by posting this blog entry. As I mentioned above, I think that there is a lot of good in “green” homes, but I just don’t think that they will make any difference on the environment. Update: This blog entry has been updated to remove two paragraphs.

By Aaron Wheeler
From his blog: Up, Down, Sideways – Which Way Is The San Francisco Bay Area Market Going?


As a part of being Real Estate 3.0, I talk about Wall Street financial sophistication. I love numbers and statistics, and it is important to keep them in mind when evaluating any opportunity.

I’m happy to make available the research that I use to stay on top of market conditions here in the San Francisco Bay Area and in Las Vegas too.

If you go to my research widget by clicking here and letting me know which areas you are interested in, you will receive a weekly executive summary report for almost any city in the area, from San Francisco to Pebble Beach and everything in between (Interested in Las Vegas instead? Email me with information on the areas you are interested in and I’ll send you a current report right away). Each report is loaded with vital statistics showing price trends, inventory and the unique market action index that gauges whether we are favoring a buyer’s or seller’s market. (Generally, index values above 30 favor the seller.)

If you like what you see and would like to become a client, I will upgrade you the full report, which will go into depth as to what makes each market area tick.


Editor’s Note:
Aaron Wheeler is the President and Managing Broker of Oakville Properties in the San Francisco Bay Area. You can find additional great blog entries like this at the Oakville Properties Blog. Oakville Properties is a member of Luxury Real Estate. This blog entry can also be found on the Luxury Lounge, for those of you LuxuryRealEstate.com members who have accepted the invitation to join that new networking group. Research is key to finding the right opportunities at the right time. Aaron is an awesome resource for buyers and sellers in the San Francisco and Las Vegas luxury home markets. I definitely recommend taking his advice and contacting him to gain all the knowledge you can from him.

By Scott Rudolph

According to a Merrill Lynch Economic Report in mid-January, U.S. real-estate prices have increased 60 percent since 2000. Real estate is one of the few investments that can be purchased using leverage. For instance, you put 20 percent down, yet your return is based on the full market value of your home. If prices do depreciate, real-estate investors that have owned since 2000 are still way ahead.

Let’s compare this to the Stock Market. Since 1999, the S&P market index has had an annual total return of about 1 percent per year! Most people think in the short-term by noting that American Stocks doubled from October 2002 to the end of 2007 but a look at the market since 1999 shows that stocks were crushed by Treasuries, Foreign Markets and cash. Lastly, real estate is a tangible asset that is often enjoyed, unlike stocks and bonds, where there is no use benefit. Remember, it’s a great time to minimize your risk and maximize your wealth by getting back into real estate at a remarkable price.

Despite continued news of a looming recession, 80.3 percent of the "Super Rich" (consumers with net worth of $30 million+) say they will increase their spending on luxury goods and services. This is according to the Elite Traveler/Prince & Associates 2008 Affluent Consumer Spending Survey conducted January 10-18, 2008. Eighty-four percent of the Super Rich said the current economic environment represents an investment opportunity, and they will continue to spend more on luxury products and services and increase donations to charitable organizations more than ever before.

Does cost matter? As expected, the Super Rich are not price-sensitive, as only 7.4 percent report an increase in the cost of luxury products as playing a role in their purchasing decisions.


Editor’s Note:
Scott Rudolph is the Director of Business Development for LuxuryRealEstate.com. He works with companies in a variety of luxury industries to expand the LuxuryRealEstate.com influence. As Scott noted, real estate, and especially luxury real estate, is almost always an excellent investment. Homes easily outperform the stock market in terms of rate of return on investment, and they provide tangible benefits. As I noted in an earlier blog entry, entitled “Why you shouldn’t fear drops in home prices,” people are wise to think of their homes as where they live first, and their investment second. Having that perspective should help people prioritize and avoid unnecessary risks for the sake of speculation. The fact that where you live appreciates in value is simply a pleasant side-effect.

By Christopher Clover

This year’s edition of the award-winning series of Marbella property market reports is currently available. Christopher Clover, the Managing Director of Panorama Real Estate, once again presents a complete analysis of all aspects of the current property scene in Marbella, Spain.

Here’s a sample of the great information in this report:

The critical factor differentiating the Marbella area market from the national market is that the former is comprised not only of national buyers but also, and especially, of international buyers. It is a multi-source market, fed from all European countries and from others even further afield. Thus, when one country’s demand for foreign property starts to drop (which might be the case in some years for the British market, now still strong due to a strong economy and strong pound), it will be replaced by another source of demand (which may be, for example, the German market as Germany is finally beginning what has already been called its “second economic miracle,” after years of economic problems).

Click here to read the seven-page report in a PDF.


Editor’s Note:
LuxuryRealEstate.com members are an excellent source of information on a variety of high-end markets around the world. Before deciding on a specific home or even a particular city, make sure you contact a Luxury Real Estate broker in the area. You can find them by going to our Broker Search section. Check it out!

By Allyson Metters

Nearly one in five REALTORS® has sold a home to an international client in the past year, according to new research by the National Association of REALTORS®.

The 2007 NAR Profile of International Home Buying Activity explores the characteristics of second-home purchases in the United States made by international clients.

Some interesting points:

• Twenty-eight percent of foreign buyers bought their houses with cash, compared to 8 percent of U.S. buyers.
• The median sales price of homes purchased by international buyers was $299,500, which is significantly higher than the U.S. median of $221,900 during the same period.
• The South attracted nearly half – 49 percent – of international buyers last year, while 31 percent purchased homes in the West.
• Nearly a third of the REALTORS® surveyed worked with international clients or prospects during the previous year.
• Among international clients, the top five countries of origin were Mexico, United Kingdom, Canada, India and China.