LRE Blog

Personal thoughts from within the Luxury Real Estate network

By Jim Walberg

From his blog: Economic Meltdown Causes Fear In East Bay Real Estate Community!

No matter how positive and resilient one is, we are in stormy economic times! However, opportunities abound in the midst of this economic hurricane!

Left to right: Jim Walberg and his friend Bob Waun, President of Vacation Finance.I was chatting with my friend, Bob Waun – president of Vacation Finance, which is headquartered in Michigan – about the financial meltdown going on in the credit markets and the stock markets. He asked if I was afraid for what is next for our real estate businesses in the Bay Area and the Caribbean. I told him, “Nah… we are still having the time of our life!” The mantra of a sailor is…, “Do not be fearful!” And, the definition of FEAR is False Evidence Appearing Real! If you didn’t know, my favorite condition in sailing is with the gunnels (side rails on each side of the boat) in the water and salt water spraying all over me. You can’t imagine the big grin on my face while I am sailing in those conditions. However, it is not the time for the faint of heart if you are a sailor in stormy seas. It is the time when experience pays off.

Both our Bay Area and Caribbean real estate businesses are thriving… however, it is taking all hands on deck to pull it off. We are blessed with a great team who only look at the glass half full, and are committed to creating a GREAT experience for our customers. Many of our competitors are running down to Starbucks talking about how the sky is falling. The vacuum they are leaving within our real estate community is amazing, and whoever fills that void today will have a larger market share when the market shifts again – which it will. In order to make it through these tough financial times we all need to work together, side by side, realizing storms don’t last forever. At the end of Bob’s and my conversation, he left me with these thoughts:

Hurricane Ike tested the structural integrity of buildings, much as the current economic hurricane tests people's personal integrity. Don't let the wind blow you down.

Faith, beliefs and conviction can be fickle friends when they are tested by panicked masses. “The end is near!” seems to be the chant of the crowd across the world today. But what of substance has changed within our global economy. Did a world of Fathers change their commitment to feed and clothe their children? Did Mothers decide that the generic brand cereal would be fine in mass? Did we stop wanting nice things and suddenly over the weekend decide to settle for less? What is the shift that causes such a panicked response? What fundamental changes are causing us to doubt the future? Purely fear of what “MIGHT” change. Does that sound rational to you?

Historians and economists can attest that
humans don’t always act rationally en masse, but as individuals we can still choose to be rational – to act out of faith and conviction, not panic. ”Looking back on it, I was a trader in the pits of the S&P in 1987. It was the most exciting and profitable stock market opportunity of my lifetime,” a friend told me today… Did he notice it at the time? No. He said he was scared to death, but he kept at his work of trading stocks in the best way he could. Life is clearer in the rearview mirror. Regret is more painful than overcoming fear…

People prepare their boat against the coming of Hurricane Ike. Stay in the ship and wade out the economic crisis to enjoy the most safety.In a storm, it is not time for people to jump ship and swim to safety. A storm is the time for experienced sailors to do their work and sail through it. It doesn’t mean we are not afraid. However, it does require us to not panic – which could cause our ship to go down. I promise we will all will make it through this economic mess. We may get wet and a bit wind-blown, but working together, we will get to a safe harbor and live to see another day when we will look back and tell the stories of how we made it through the storms of 2008 and 2009. Contact me today if you would like some help through your storm. Until next time… fair winds!!!


Editor’s Note:
Jim Walberg is the co-Broker/Owner of The Bay Area Team, the most-successful team at Keller Williams Realty-Danville. He is also a member of the global Luxury Real Estate network. Jim is an exceptional blogger, as you can see by visiting his blogs, East Bay Real Estate and Caribbean Islands Realty, and reading his great blog entries like the one above. He is the master of fractionals and other luxury homes in the Bay Area and the Caribbean, and he always has a lot of great opportunities to share. Such wonderful words of hope! Thank you, Jim, for your marvelous understanding of what is really happening in today’s market. People are filled with great fear at the moment and it’s hard to know what to do when we’re in the middle of so many crashing waves. I trust that wisdom and goodness will lead us to prevail over these hard times. I hope that we will all be wiser about who we put our faith in after we come through this. I am in total agreement with Jim that this is no time to panic or jump ship. Let us return to honesty and kindness, for it appears to me that this crisis was brought on by the dishonesty and selfishness of a few. Now people don’t know who to trust. I hope we will all be trustworthy and good, like I know Jim is.

By Jim Walberg
From his blog: Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Bailed Out Today! Boom Or Bust?

“The Feds took over Fannie Mae and Feddy Mac today! Time will tell what happens next for East Bay Real Estate consumers and who will pay the bill, says Jim Walberg.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.The Federal Government made their historic announcement today – a Federal bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could not wait another day! The straw that broke the camel’s back was the liquidity condition of both of these mammoth financial entities. It is frightening to imagine that both of these companies own or guarantee about $5 TRILLION in home loans – about half of all the nation’s total home loans! And, we need to be reminded about my phrase, “Do not be fearful!” – False Evidence Appearing Real!

The plan that was announced today by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and James Lockhart, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, places the two companies into a “conservatorship” to be run by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Under conservatorship, the government would temporarily run Fannie and Freddie until they are on stronger footing. “A failure of Fannie and Freddie would affect the ability of Americans to get home loans, auto loans and other consumer credit and business finance. And a failure would be harmful to economic growth and job creation,” Paulson said at a news conference today in Washington. With this bailout, the Feds have now made $200 BILLION available to them to shore up their liquidity issues. Again, this money is coming from the United States as an addition to the national debt.

James Lockhart, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency.The role of these two financial institutions is to buy mortgage loans from banks and package those loans into securities that they either hold or sell to U.S. and foreign investors. This allows national banks like Wells Fargo Bank and Bank of America to make more loans. The problem affecting the mortgage meltdown has hit Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac VERY hard! The past 12 months have seen an alarming number of their loans started going into default, emptying out the companies’ financial reserves and sending ice through the veins of the credit markets around the world. Costs have skyrocketed and the Feds could not wait another day by placing them into a conservatorship. The Treasury Department is now guaranteeing the solvency of these two lenders. That means that YOU and I are the ones guaranteeing the loans because more money is just going to be printed to bail them out.

With this bailout, mortgage rates on conventional, 30-year fixed-rate loans are expected to fall by the end of September. If the mortgage interest rate falls for home loans, it should attract more buyers into the market, which would then have a positive effect on home prices. However, Greg McBride, a senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com, did say, “Continued investor wariness and a depreciating housing market may keep rates from dropping. We are not looking at sunshine and daffodils in the housing market anytime soon.”

Paulson stressed that both Fannie and Freddie are still in business and will have a new management team. Freddie CEO Richard Syron and Fannie CEO Daniel Mudd will no longer run the companies, with the FHFA taking over control of their boards. Syron and Mudd will be replaced by two market veterans with the job of restoring the mortgage agencies to a profitable condition. Herb Allison, the former chairman and CEO of pension provider TIAA-CREF, will head Fannie Mae. Allison formerly served as president of Merrill Lynch. David Moffett, who served as vice chairman and chief financial officer of U.S. Bancorp until early 2007 and then joined the Carlyle Group private-equity firm as a senior adviser, will take over Freddie Mac.
The Freddie Mac sign.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who led the efforts to help get the U.S. housing market and the broader economy back on track, applauded the decision by Lockhart and Paulson. “These necessary steps will help to strengthen the U.S. housing market and promote stability in our financial markets,” Bernanke said in a statement. The real test will come when financial markets around the world open Monday. Pimco’s Bill Gross, a widely followed bond fund manager, said that the Freddie-Fannie plan was the right move. “This is a significant step and almost exactly what we had hoped for,” Gross told CNNMoney.com Sunday.

Time is always the judge of any decision, especially one of this magnitude. I am not a fan of ever increasing our national debt. Today it is already staggering without the additional billions required to support this bailout. Still, the rescue of Fannie and Freddie may go a long way towards bringing stability to the housing market while making it easier for consumers to obtain affordable mortgages. We will see. I look forward to your comments.


Editor’s Note:
Jim Walberg is the co-Broker/Owner of The Bay Area Team, the most-successful team at Keller Williams Realty-Danville. He is also a member of the global LuxuryRealEstate.com network. Jim is an exceptional blogger, as you can see by visiting his blogs, East Bay Real Estate and Caribbean Islands Realty, and reading his great blog entries like the one above. He is the master of fractionals and other luxury homes in the Bay Area and the Caribbean, and he always has a lot of great opportunities to share. This is a pretty scary time. It’s disappointing to see that things became so tough for these two institutions that they were unable to survive without government help. This definitely deserves some close scrutiny, and I hope that things will turn out all right in the end.

By Jim Walberg
From his blog: East Bay Real Estate Community Supports “Stand Down”!

2008 “Stand Down” serves 600 homeless veterans at the Alameda County Fairgrounds August 7th - 10th!

The REALTORS Marketing Group's sign at the 2008 Stand Down event.Another example as to how your real-estate community and its service providers continue to give back to the needs of the Bay Area was demonstrated on Friday, Aug. 8 at 5:30 a.m. at the Alameda County Fairgrounds. Members of the REALTORS® Marketing Association served breakfast to a “village” of war veterans.

Every two years the Diablo Valley Vietnam Veterans Association arranges for an entire “tent city” to be set up in the East Bay so homeless veterans can be served. “Stand Down” is a term used during war to describe the practice of removing combat troops from the field and take care of their basic needs in a safe place. That is exactly what has been created for 600 homeless veterans this week. The RMA contracts Ruggie’s Restaurant in San Ramon to supply ALL the food they serve.

Tent city, a temporary shelter for homeless veterans at the Alameda County Fairgrounds.REALTOR® Mike Weber, a member of the Diablo Valley Vietnam Veterans, is the person who continues to invite the real-estate community to be a participant in supporting this important project. They always say YES! Some of the services available for these lost, but not forgotten, veterans are:

- Medical facilities to serve their health needs – including dental, plus a follow-up care program.

- A “field court” with county judges to fast-track clearing up legal issues that may be preventing these veterans from securing employment.

- Job-placement services that also assists them in having DMV re-issued driver’s licenses.

- Assisting with identifying residential opportunities.

- A complete barber shop, new clothing, shoes and other basic clothing needs.

Jim Walberg serves homeless veterans at the 2008 Stand Down event in the San Francisco Bay AreaMembers of the Diablo Valley Vietnam Veterans were inspired to create the first East Bay Stand Down in 1999 in order to provide a respite from the “streets.” In the midst of all the services provided, their commitment is to treat each of these veterans with respect and dignity. Most of us are unaware, and maybe don’t want to know, that there are about 154,000 homeless veterans on the streets of our cities on any given night. Just in our Bay Area there are over 7,000 homeless veterans! An even sadder statistic is that a BIG number of these veterans have little or no contact with Veteran Administration for either medial or financial aid. Stand Down directly addresses the issue that cannot be ignored any longer - aiding and assisting veterans in need to improve their lives, no matter how difficult it may be to do so.

Jim Walberg and three other real-estate professionals stand near the Mess Hall where they served many homeless veterans.The first Stand Down was held in San Diego in 1988. It has now been integrated into over 200 cities around the country with over 200,000 veterans and their families being served. A key objective is to break the cycle of the homeless epidemic within the veteran community. These are the men and women who have served our country, and we need to make sure they are not forgotten.

A quote that is appropriate for their mission is, “A community is often judged by how well it takes care of its own.” Serving the needs of those who have served to protect and create Freedom in the world is a worth activity for all of us to consider. Please contact Stand Down or Jim Walberg if you want to personally get involved, or to make financial contributions. Also, contact me any time to find out about other service opportunities for Bay Area community projects. Until next time… your East Bay real estate detective remains on duty.


Editor’s Note:
Jim Walberg is the co-Broker/Owner of The Bay Area Team, the most-successful team at Keller Williams Realty-Danville. He is also a member of the global LuxuryRealEstate.com network. Jim is an exceptional blogger, as you can see by visiting his blogs, East Bay Real Estate and Caribbean Islands Realty, and reading his great blog entries like the one above. He is the master of fractionals and other luxury homes in the Bay Area and the Caribbean, and he always has a lot of great opportunities to share. Philanthropy is awesome. We should all follow the Golden Rule as we go about our many activities in this life. Great people aren’t those who leave behind the most wealth when they die, but those who bless others’ lives and seek to lift their brothers and sisters on their shoulders. Luxury properties are what we sell, but people are who we serve.

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